Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 72.040914 81.135296 90.426177 100.595613 111.382384 122.453654 134.646674
2025-10-05 60.790974 74.208543 88.500115 104.725456 122.512137 141.305697 162.555409
2025-10-12 53.326979 69.206216 86.648611 106.964834 129.733003 154.244060 182.416000
2025-10-19 45.953568 63.321182 82.967715 106.394419 133.166058 162.453735 196.580802
2025-10-26 39.981532 58.373722 79.763714 105.817408 136.106125 169.700340 209.298520
2025-11-02 35.619543 54.898522 77.895201 106.436509 140.109426 177.891227 222.850292
2025-11-09 31.167850 50.892341 75.050081 105.604573 142.177641 183.672449 233.496145
2025-11-16 27.763603 47.912244 73.207395 105.753082 145.210817 190.412841 245.107378
2025-11-23 24.259809 44.487960 70.565724 104.720206 146.668899 195.189365 254.345691
2025-11-30 22.159141 42.789834 69.979610 106.104527 150.929747 203.166718 267.225913
2025-12-07 20.385782 41.394950 69.671952 107.744508 155.429297 211.374061 280.336972
2025-12-14 17.820042 38.621338 67.374275 106.726300 156.571613 215.521733 288.634943
2025-12-21 15.045117 35.295720 64.182226 104.461713 156.126346 217.768148 294.728805
2025-12-28 14.512912 35.430324 65.732391 108.363666 163.367655 229.261786 311.782715
2026-01-04 13.553324 34.781980 66.125618 110.698733 168.613104 238.329039 325.949457
2026-01-11 11.838806 32.709772 64.382664 110.108625 170.099471 242.792148 334.598716
2026-01-18 10.298755 30.764134 62.708150 109.521671 171.522262 247.128084 343.057654
2026-01-25 9.212825 29.509073 61.972955 110.152701 174.463956 253.295924 353.696730
2026-02-01 7.889633 27.643812 60.218000 109.304462 175.437767 256.999478 361.334722
2026-02-08 6.915173 26.328419 59.224742 109.455885 177.668906 262.229010 370.798224
2026-02-15 5.803945 24.561631 57.426815 108.402658 178.267975 265.390957 377.722278
2026-02-22 5.252847 23.925957 57.385044 109.814237 182.097440 272.575416 389.542662
2026-03-01 4.792040 23.431283 57.539085 111.486311 186.261259 280.175222 401.873099